Exposures to Oil: What the Data Says
From a market lens — the transmission mechanism is clear: energy. And the data tells us more sectors lose than win from an oil shock.
In the chart below Quant Insight’s Risk Model maps the sensitivity of every S&P 500 industry group to a 1 daily standard deviation move higher in WTI. The picture is stark.
Winners are narrow. Oil & Gas Services, E&P, Pipelines, Agriculture, Alt Energy. That’s it. Losers are broad. Airlines, Leisure, Home Builders, Auto Parts, Software, Private Equity, Banks — the red bars dominate. Consumer cyclicals and rate-sensitive industrials take the biggest hit.
Higher oil acts as a tax on discretionary spending and compresses margins across transport, lodging, and distribution. Clients drill down to individual stock exposures and see where oil’s marginal contribution to risk is rising.
Continue reading our analysis by downloading the PDF or watch our video analysis below
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